Sunday, March 25, 2012

Republican underdog looks to Louisiana

Underdog Rick Santorum looked set for a big win in Louisiana Saturday as he struggled to dent the commanding lead of rival Mitt Romney in the race for the Republican presidential nod.

Written off early on in the campaign, Santorum has steadily notched up wins -- 10 out of 33 contests -- largely with the help of evangelical Christians and the party's most conservative members.

That support was expected to propel the former Pennsylvania senator to a knock-out win in the southern state of Louisiana, where he had a 14-point lead over Romney in a Public Policy polling survey released Friday.

But his failure to win over more moderate voters -- and his focus on divisive culture war issues like abortion and birth control -- has called into question Santorum's ability to beat President Barack Obama in the November 6 election.

"We liked Santorum for a while, but lately he has gotten too radical," Betty Harper, 76, told AFP after casting a ballot for Romney at a New Orleans polling station.

"Obama is out of control... I really think he is a closet Muslim," she added, echoing conspiracy theories that have dogged Obama ever since his 2008 White House run.

Her husband, Dick Harper, said Romney is the "best man for the job" because he's a "good businessman and he won't embarrass us."

Pressure is mounting from the Republican establishment to rally behind Romney, whose 21 wins include Florida, Ohio and Michigan -- all key battlegrounds in the general election.

Obama had an eight-point lead over Santorum in a hypotethical matchup that had him in a statistical tie with Romney, according to Rasmussen national survey.

But Santorum insists the only way to beat Obama is to pick a conservative candidate who can energize the party's base rather than tapping an "Obama-Lite" in the hopes of winning over moderates and independents.

"Romney is a nice man, but I prefer Santorum because I felt he is better than the rest, morally for one thing," Dianne Cannelle, 79, said after casting a ballot in New Orleans.

"You don't just have to have brains to be president; you have to have moral values as well."

Turnout has been low in the hotly contested, topsy-turvy Republican nominating race, but Romney has dismissed any concerns about an enthusiasm gap as he amasses an increasingly insurmountable lead.

Santorum has vowed to take the fight all the way to the Republican convention in August if Romney fails to win the 1,144 delegates needed to clinch the nomination.

Romney currently has an estimated 560 delegates, while Santorum has won 246, according to the website Real Clear Politics.

Gingrich, who has won two states, has 141 delegates, while Texas Representative Ron Paul, who has not won a single contest, has 66 thanks to the proportional distribution of delegates in some states.

While Santorum's expected win in Louisiana ought to provide him with some momentum, the race next shifts to states where Romney has the advantage.

The former Massachusetts governor was ahead by 13 points in a Rasmussen survey of voters in the midwestern state of Wisconsin, which heads to the polls on April 3 along with Maryland and the US capital Washington.

Santorum is expected to carry his home state of Pennsylvania in the following contest on April 24, but the victory will be overshadowed if Romney is able to sweep New York, Connecticut, Delaware and Rhode Island, which also vote that day.

Santorum's campaign says it is looking ahead to May, when the southern states of North Carolina, West Virginia, Kentucky, Arkansas and Texas will vote.

But if enough of the party's "super-delegates" throw their weight behind Romney, the race could be essentially over long before then.

Since many states award delegates at state conventions, the results of nominating events do not translate easily into an exact delegate count.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/santorum-looks-louisiana-revive-campaign-092433800.html

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